Rule of 72



         


In finance, the rule of 72 is a simple method of calculating the approximate number of periods over which a quantity will double. If you divide 72 by the expected growth rate, expressed as a percentage, the answer is approximately the number of periods to double the original quantity. For instance, if you were to invest $100 at 9% per annum, then your investment would be worth $200 after 8.0432 years, using an exact calculation. The rule of 72 gives 72/9=8 years, which is close to the exact answer.

On the other hand if you were to leave $100 uninvested when inflation was 9% per annum, the purchasing power of your $100 would have halved after 8 (72/9) years.

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Derivation

<math> \begin{matrix} FV &=& PV\cdot(1+r)^t \\ 2PV &=& PV\cdot(1+r)^t \\ 2 &=& (1+r)^t \\ \ln(2) &=& t \cdot \ln(1+r) \\ t &=& \frac{\ln(2)}{\ln(1+r)} \\ \\ \textrm{Taylor} & & \textrm{expansion:}\\ \ln(1+r) &=& r - {r^2 \over 2} + \frac{r^3}{3} \cdots & \approx & r \\ \\ t & \approx & \frac{\ln(2)}{r} & \approx & \frac{0.693}{r} \end{matrix} <math>

So for very small rates, 69.3 would be more accurate than 72. For higher rates, a bigger numerator would be better (e.g. for 20%, using 76 to get 3.8 years would be more accurate than 3.6). 72 is reasonable approximation across this range and is easily divisible by many numbers.

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See also

exponential growth, Taylor series






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